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    Nigeria’s headline inflation moderates to 21.88 % in July as the harvest season kicks in

    Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased to 21.88% year-on-year in July 2025, down from 22.22% in June, as the early harvest season helped stabilize food prices, according to data and market analysis. 

    Analysts at FBNQuest attributed the moderation to a high base effect, improved food supply from new harvests, and relative stability in key inflationary drivers.

    Despite the year-on-year decline, monthly price growth remained elevated, with headline inflation rising by 1.99% in July compared to 1.68% in June.

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    According to BusinessDay, the persistent month-on-month increase reflects ongoing pressures in the food supply chain, driven largely by insecurity in major agricultural regions.

    Food inflation also eased, falling to 22.7% year-on-year in July, while core inflation slowed to 0.97% from 3.12% in June. 

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    However, analysts warn that underlying inflationary risks remain, as structural challenges—particularly in agriculture and logistics—continue to keep price pressures high.

    Image Credit: Business Day

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